Pre-Market Analysis for 13th Apr’26
- Price Action: A spectacular session. Nifty completely shook off previous weakness, rallying over 275 points to firmly reclaim and close above the psychological 24,000 mark.
- Derivatives Data: Put writers established dominance. Put OI jumped an incredible +21.23% vs Call OI at only +5.15%. A concrete base has been established at lower levels.
- Resistance: Immediate technical hurdle lies at 24,200 – 24,350.
- Support: Strict support established at 23,800 – 23,900. As long as this holds, the structure is ‘buy-on-dips’.
- Price Action: Bank Nifty was the star performer, surging nearly 1,100 points. Closing near 55,913, the index has formed a strong bullish candle, fully recovering recent losses.
- Structural Shift: The sharp drop in the India VIX below 19 confirms that institutional panic hedging in banking stocks has completely evaporated.
- Resistance: Immediate heavy supply rests at 56,400 – 56,500.
- Support: The 55,300 – 55,400 zone acts as a major foundational support.
- Price Action: Sensex rocketed over 918 points (1.20%) to close at 77,550. Buying emerged heavily across financial and auto heavyweights, snapping a multi-week losing streak.
- Key Levels: Immediate resistance stands at 78,000. Strong downside support is clustered around 76,800.
- Futures net short reduced from −227,718 to −206,227. They covered a massive 19,065 futures shorts today.
- Call Buying: FIIs heavily bought upside participation, adding 56,257 Call Longs while barely writing any calls (only 9.7K shorts).
- Put options: Marginal addition; net put longs remained relatively stable around +333K.
- Long PCR slightly eased to 1.68.
- Futures net long dropped to +143,204. Retail booked profits by cutting 18,142 futures longs on this massive up-move.
- Call Selling: Retail reduced call longs and wrote 64K short calls. Net call longs fell from 198K to +126K.
- Put Activity: Massive volume on both sides (440K long puts, 433K short puts). Overall net put short book remains heavily negative at −459,193.
- Long PCR spiked by +22.7% to 0.96. Retail is finally hedging.
- Futures net flipped slightly positive to +91, completely flat directional view.
- Heavy Writing: Pros engaged in massive both-sided option activity, adding roughly 150K Call Longs and 125K Call Shorts, plus 244K Put Longs and 273K Put Shorts.
- Net Put OI dropped from 101K to +72,814 as they wrote more puts than they bought.
- Short PCR jumped 18.9% to 1.01.
- Futures net slightly reduced to +62,932, cutting 2,819 long positions.
- Options activity remains near-zero as expected.
FIIs surrendering to the upside: Foreign Institutions (FIIs) covered a staggering 19,000 short futures contracts today while simultaneously buying 56,000 Call Options. When the dominant bears are forced to cover shorts and buy upside calls, it creates a powerful structural tailwind.
Trade Plan: With the Overall PCR jumping back to a healthy 1.08 and Put OI growing at 4x the rate of Call OI (+21% vs +5%), a solid concrete floor has been established under the market. Do not short this market. Any intraday dip toward the newly formed Put-writer bases (23,800 on Nifty, 55,300 on Bank Nifty) should be aggressively utilized as a low-risk entry for long positions. Keep an eye on 24,200 as the next breakout trigger.
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